Mindless weather chit chat

Moderator: HAZ - Moderators

Linked Descriptions none
Linked Areas none
User avatar
Jim_H
Climate Windchime
Posts: 4604
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm
City, State: Phoenix, AZ

Mindless weather chit chat

Post by Jim_H » May 15 2009 8:25 pm

The endless chatter of weather.
Last edited by big_load on Aug 01 2017 9:52 pm, edited 25 times in total.
Reason: Requested by Jim H because of dead links
Nothing more enjoyable than a good hike out of town.

User avatar
chumley
Norwegian Kokopelli
Posts: 6597
Joined: Sep 18 2002 8:59 am
City, State: Tempe, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by chumley » Feb 08 2018 9:34 am

Ya know how ya know you live in the desert?

When you can barely remember the last time it rained, and yet, the last month has been "near normal" for precipitation.

The NWS reports that January was just below average for precipitation statewide, coming in as just the 43rd driest Arizona January in 124 years of record keeping.

It's an improvement since the three-month rolling average Oct-Dec was 4th driest, and Nov-Jan was 5th driest.
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-prec ... aps-select
Last edited by chumley on Feb 08 2018 11:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
Ja vi elsker dette landet

User avatar
outdoor_lover
Dangling Kokopelli
Posts: 1653
Joined: Aug 19 2011 7:49 pm
City, State: Scottsdale, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by outdoor_lover » Feb 08 2018 10:39 am

27544691_1549036791844837_7686920726452332565_n.png
Life is not a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty & well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside, totally worn out & proclaiming, "Wow What a Ride!"

User avatar
Jim_H
Climate Windchime
Posts: 4604
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm
City, State: Phoenix, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by Jim_H » Feb 08 2018 1:07 pm

I'm more impressed by Flagstaff having their direst September to January on record, with just 1/4 of the normal precipitation, most of which was actually in January. I wonder, how much will they, and the other watershed areas of the state receive before Monsoon season? Will we be like 2015, where there was a good amount of spring rain and snow, or 2012, where it was dry?
Nothing more enjoyable than a good hike out of town.

User avatar
Jim_H
Climate Windchime
Posts: 4604
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm
City, State: Phoenix, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by Jim_H » Feb 09 2018 7:23 am

But now models indicate some type of extra tropical or other low may come in over southern California and affect Arizona in about a week. Low totals, not a big, cold, Gulf of Alaska low or even a warm wet pineapple express, but something. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1431007963

I wonder if it will pan out, or be a bust?
Nothing more enjoyable than a good hike out of town.

User avatar
Jim_H
Climate Windchime
Posts: 4604
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm
City, State: Phoenix, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by Jim_H » Feb 11 2018 7:53 am

Judging by the 120 hour and 168 hour QPF models, the storm appears to be trending wetter for most of Arizona, and New Mexico. Drier for southern California, though they still get something, but northern Mexico is in our boat. Some areas with good lift, like the Sierra Ancha, Mazatzal, Baldy/ White Mts, and Mogollon Mts in NM, have colors indicating over 1.5 inches of liquid, if this pans out as forecast. Haven't seen that in a very long time. Sure would be nice to see this storm go as forecast.
Nothing more enjoyable than a good hike out of town.

User avatar
jonathanpatt
Exploring Kokopelli
Posts: 75
Joined: Oct 20 2014 7:45 am
City, State: Portal, Arizona
Contact:

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by jonathanpatt » Feb 11 2018 9:38 pm

Had half an hour or so of light rain in parts of the Chiricahuas today.

User avatar
chumley
Norwegian Kokopelli
Posts: 6597
Joined: Sep 18 2002 8:59 am
City, State: Tempe, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by chumley » Feb 13 2018 8:00 am

Yesterday was the wettest February 12th in Flagstaff's record book. 0.83" of liquid precipitation fell! :D
Ja vi elsker dette landet

User avatar
cactuscat
Zion Dreamer
Posts: 646
Joined: Oct 15 2002 12:08 pm
City, State: Safford

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by cactuscat » Feb 15 2018 9:00 am

It's been raining pretty much non-stop since 3pm yesterday at Roper Lake - we just passed the 1 inch mark! :y:
Where is the "dislike" button?

User avatar
Jim_H
Climate Windchime
Posts: 4604
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm
City, State: Phoenix, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by Jim_H » Feb 15 2018 10:52 am

Tucson NWS wrote in their forecast discussion about widespread 3/4 to 1 inch plus totals in the valleys of SE AZ, and 2 to 4 inches of liquid, assumed to be mostly rain judging by the Mt Lemmon webcams, in the mountains. I don't know where the snow line was, but maybe the Pinalenos have new snow on them, since they are well over 10,000'. This was a warmer system!
Nothing more enjoyable than a good hike out of town.

User avatar
cactuscat
Zion Dreamer
Posts: 646
Joined: Oct 15 2002 12:08 pm
City, State: Safford

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by cactuscat » Feb 15 2018 11:05 am

@Jim_H
Looks to be be mostly liquid on the Pinalenos too, judging by the MGIO webcams and weather station. Better than nothing, though!
Where is the "dislike" button?

User avatar
rwstorm
Car Campin Kopelli
Posts: 599
Joined: Feb 28 2003 5:45 pm
City, State: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by rwstorm » Feb 15 2018 11:54 am

Final storm update: Storm and month total now at 1.64...year so far 1.76. :)

Up to 8 or 9 inches of rain at highest reaches of Catalina and Rincon Mountains from this 3 day storm has been reported. :o
Last edited by rwstorm on Feb 17 2018 8:49 am, edited 3 times in total.

User avatar
chumley
Norwegian Kokopelli
Posts: 6597
Joined: Sep 18 2002 8:59 am
City, State: Tempe, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by chumley » Feb 19 2018 8:10 am

The models apparently spent the weekend boozing in Scottsdale!

Yesterday morning the forecast called for 6-10" of snow along the eastern Mogollon Rim with local amounts up to 12"
By 8pm last night the forecast increased to 9-13" with local amounts up to 21"
At midnight the forecast was revised to about half that: 4-8" with local amounts to 13"

At 10pm last night the forecast still called for 5-8" of snow overnight along the rim. Less than 1" actually fell. In the immediate 6-hour window.

That's an incredibly inaccurate model forecast! ](*,)
Ja vi elsker dette landet

User avatar
azbackpackr
River Paddler
Posts: 8026
Joined: Jan 21 2006 6:46 am
City, State: Flagstaff, Arizona

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by azbackpackr » Feb 20 2018 5:02 am

@rwstorm
During the storm I was watching the USGS real time water data pages for Rillito Creek, Sabino Creek, etc. They spiked up a bit, but there wasn't the huge surge I would have expected. Sabino Creek is now running, but not hugely. I'd have to guess it was more of a soaking rain than a flooding one. I was in Tucson just before the storm, and will be returning there for a couple of days, on Sunday. It will be interesting to see the difference, if there is anything to see.
There is a point of no return unremarked at the time in most lives. Graham Greene The Comedians
A clean house is a sign of a misspent life.

User avatar
MtnBart01
Chipita Whirlybird
Posts: 473
Joined: Aug 23 2005 9:26 am
City, State: Chipita Park, Co

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by MtnBart01 » Feb 20 2018 7:31 am

](*,) Powder day thwarted by two hour school delay for a little snow
LET IT SNOW! Let it SNOW! Let it Snow!

User avatar
outdoor_lover
Dangling Kokopelli
Posts: 1653
Joined: Aug 19 2011 7:49 pm
City, State: Scottsdale, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by outdoor_lover » Feb 20 2018 2:21 pm

The Western Supes Rainfall yesterday was absolutely dismal... Although it was nice to not get Drenched during the Day Hiking, it surely didn't help the Desert much and my Vehicle, parked at Canyon Lake was just a spotted up muddy mess.... I think they were predicting 1/4 to 3/4 of an Inch of Rain for this Storm... More like a "Trace" fell and it was spotty....
Life is not a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty & well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside, totally worn out & proclaiming, "Wow What a Ride!"

User avatar
cactuscat
Zion Dreamer
Posts: 646
Joined: Oct 15 2002 12:08 pm
City, State: Safford

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by cactuscat » Feb 20 2018 6:10 pm

Our total at Roper for the past seven days was just about exactly 2 inches. Mt. Graham finally got a decent bit of snow, and we are getting runoff into the lake ... lake level is up about 6 inches so far.
Where is the "dislike" button?

User avatar
Jim_H
Climate Windchime
Posts: 4604
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm
City, State: Phoenix, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by Jim_H » Feb 20 2018 6:31 pm

http://icons.wunderground.com/webcamram ... urrent.jpg

Todd sent me the link and the Pinalenos look to have some decent snow, at the top to the access road for the observatory.

The cams for Sunrise and Snowbowl look nice, and both report what would normally be nothing special, but is better than nothing. 53 inches and 50 inches of season total for both.

I like the Radio Ridge view on Mount Lemmon.
https://www.webcams.travel/webcam/fullscreen/1469446737
Nothing more enjoyable than a good hike out of town.

User avatar
cactuscat
Zion Dreamer
Posts: 646
Joined: Oct 15 2002 12:08 pm
City, State: Safford

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by cactuscat » Feb 20 2018 7:23 pm

Jim_H wrote: Pinalenos look to have some decent snow, at the top to the access road for the observatory.
I was at the ADOT yard today picking up my work truck, and there was a snowplow which had recently returned from the top - they said it was about 4 inches up there ... and I scooped up a nice big snowball from the plow blade and took it home! :lol:
Where is the "dislike" button?

User avatar
Jim_H
Climate Windchime
Posts: 4604
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm
City, State: Phoenix, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by Jim_H » Feb 28 2018 8:06 am

Some pretty nice, but not too impressive precipitation totals from the recent storm moving through Arizona. Better than nothing, like we had in December. Now, Spring?

California is about to be impacted by an old fashioned Gulf of Alaska low, the sort we/ they used to get all the time, back in the old days of 2008 or so. Cold, lots of snow down low, and impressive precipitation totals up and down the state, except in San Diego County where it won't be so impressive. It appears to be moving inland further north than needed to impact San Diego heavily, which means we really won't see anything from it, either. Too bad it didn't materialize in January, and there were not half a dozen more of them. Better late, than never?
Nothing more enjoyable than a good hike out of town.

User avatar
nikorock28
Thumb Butte Bandito
Posts: 125
Joined: Nov 16 2010 11:52 pm
City, State: Prescott Valley, AZ

Re: Mindless weather chit chat

Post by nikorock28 » Feb 28 2018 9:37 am

The storm completely missed Grand Canyon. No snow at all, while I hear Flagstaff had 6 or more inches, Prescott 4 inches, etc.
Last edited by nikorock28 on Feb 28 2018 9:37 am, edited 1 time in total.

Post Reply

Return to “Weather”




cron