I liked the old one, but I think the point of me shaking my fist in anger ( meant to be ironic) at the almost non-existent smoke column after other members had complained quite a bit about this fire ruining plans near Strawberry, was lost on folks. Also, I just got tired of it.
@ Toddy, This year reminds me of 2009 and 2017. 2009 was very dry after out of season late May and early June rains, and 2017 had a decent July for rain, but the flow ceased, almost all storms vanished in Arizona, and the state dried out for nearly a year until the next summer.
Do you recall anything in those years? I don't. Not meant to be a loaded response, I really just don't remember.
The big variable after middle September, is our tendency to be a lot cooler, and cold in areas that might be hot right now, so restrictions are not always necessary if fuel moisture is not extremely low.
https://azdailysun.com/news/historicall ... f0346.html
Fuels are still kinda moist per that article.
An NPR interview today mentioned some of the causes for our dismal summer rains, including troughs to the west. Now unless those cease, tropical storms might be kept at bay, though the interview also suggested they would work together to bring a lot of rain. Time will tell, but as last year showed us, we could have a wet fall or wet late summer.
The current forecast is dry, dry, dry, pretty much to Labor Day, from what I am seeing.