Gila Flooding

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AZLumberjack
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Gila Flooding

Post by AZLumberjack » Sep 17 2013 5:33 am

Found this video on Facebook and thought it might be of interest to anyone along the river's banks. It shows a Diesel tank floating down the swollen river and heading for a bridge further downstream :o
https://m.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1 ... 1349686542
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CannondaleKid
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by CannondaleKid » Sep 17 2013 6:52 am

mnlumberjack wrote:Found this video on Facebook
What's Facebook? :whistle:
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chumley
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by chumley » Sep 17 2013 7:49 am

Time to get out the boat and head for San Carlos! It's up 10 feet this month, and it seems safe that it will be able to hold it all. Just 103-feet to go to reach the spillway! :o

For a better perspective on that, the capacity has more than doubled from about 2% full to almost 5% full. (Increasing by 10,000 acre-feet in just the last two days).

This reservoir has a water catchement area of nearly 13,000 square miles (larger than Massachusetts).

It was last 100% full in 1995. It was last 50% full in 2005. It has not been above 3% for the last two years.
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SuperstitionGuy
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by SuperstitionGuy » Sep 17 2013 8:23 am

mnlumberjack wrote:It shows a Diesel tank floating down the swollen river and heading for a bridge further downstream
Some Arizona redneck downstream is going to have a new home soon :sl: ...
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azbackpackr
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by azbackpackr » Sep 17 2013 11:54 am

Wish I had time to drive down there and be a looky-loo. Oh, but wait, could I even get through Glenwood? Is the road still closed? I might have to take 191. Oh, well, scratch that idea. I have to work, anyway.
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chumley
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by chumley » Sep 17 2013 2:45 pm

Code: Select all

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
951 AM MST TUE SEP 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* HYDROLOGIC ADVISORY FOR ELEVATED RIVER FLOWS IN...
  CENTRAL GRAHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SAFFORD...
  SOUTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 1000 AM MST WEDNESDAY

* AT 930 AM MST FLOWS IN THE GILA RIVER IN GREENLEE COUNTY AND
  EASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY REMAINED ELEVATED...BUT WERE BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE AND ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE THROUGH
  TONIGHT.

* THE RIVER CRESTED AT DUNCAN MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER LEVEL WILL
  FLUCTUATE SLIGHTLY TODAY BUT REMAIN AROUND BANKFULL...THEN
  GRADUALLY FALL TONIGHT.

  THE GILA RIVER SOUTH OF CLIFTON WAS CRESTING JUST ABOVE BANKFULL
  THIS MORNING.  THE RIVER SHOULD REMAIN AROUND BANKFULL INTO
  TONIGHT.

  THE FLOW FROM THE GILA RIVER NEAR CLIFTON WILL CAUSE A RISE TO
  NEAR BANKFULL DOWNSTREAM AT SOLOMON BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER
  WILL THEN REMAIN NEAR BANKFULL OVERNIGHT. ELEVATED FLOWS WILL
  CONTINUE DOWNSTREAM TOWARD CALVA BUT THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO
  REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

UPPER GILA
  DUNCAN     19.5  16.3 TUE 08 AM   15.4   12.0   10.2
  SOLOMON    17.0  12.9 TUE 09 AM   13.5   11.2   10.2
  CALVA      20.0  12.8 TUE 09 AM   12.8   13.9   11.3
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chumley
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by chumley » Sep 17 2013 3:45 pm

At the current flow of about 10,000cfs at Calva, about 780 acre-feet of water is draining into the San Carlos every hour.

Even if it were to keep that flow rate for 24-hours, it would result in under 20,000 acre-feet additional into the reservoir. Since flood events taper down quite slowly, I'd expect the reservoir to rise somewhere near 10% of it's full 880,000 acre-feet capacity.
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azbackpackr
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by azbackpackr » Sep 17 2013 5:35 pm

chumley wrote:At the current flow of about 10,000cfs at Calva, about 780 acre-feet of water is draining into the San Carlos every hour.

Even if it were to keep that flow rate for 24-hours, it would result in under 20,000 acre-feet additional into the reservoir. Since flood events taper down quite slowly, I'd expect the reservoir to rise somewhere near 10% of it's full 880,000 acre-feet capacity.
Those of us who do grammar instead of math appreciate your ability to figure that out. :)
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RedRoxx44
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Re: Gila Flooding

Post by RedRoxx44 » Sep 17 2013 6:44 pm

Brian has a close friend who has a ranch on the Blue River for many years. He emailed him and said worst in 100 years, lost a shed and some stuff he said is now probably in Duncan, parked suburban with 3 inches of mud inside and took most of their sprinkler pipe and knocked over a propane tank. Sounds like a new work project for Brian---

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