Page 81 of 379

Atmosphere Comparison

Posted: May 15 2009 8:25 pm
by Jim
The endless chatter of weather.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 17 2011 10:27 am
by azbackpackr
Jim_H wrote:Any rain at this point would be nice. So we can get rid of all the pine pollen. I've never seen it this bad.
What pine pollen? ;)

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 17 2011 5:12 pm
by RangerKelly
azbackpackr wrote:
Jim_H wrote:Any rain at this point would be nice. So we can get rid of all the pine pollen. I've never seen it this bad.
What pine pollen? ;)
I think any rain would be nice to put out that fire.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 17 2011 7:13 pm
by azbackpackr
RangerKelly wrote:
azbackpackr wrote:
Jim_H wrote:Any rain at this point would be nice. So we can get rid of all the pine pollen. I've never seen it this bad.
What pine pollen? ;)
I think any rain would be nice to put out that fire.
What fire? :whistle:

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 17 2011 8:31 pm
by PaleoRob
Had winds today, and clouds. Nothing else, though.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 19 2011 10:24 am
by Jim
DEEP MONSOON MOISTURE NEEDED FOR RAIN REMAINED FAR SOUTH IN
MEXICO TODAY BUT AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES WILL START TO WORK ITS WAY
NORTH TOWARD SOUTHERN ARIZONA.
From the most current Tucson NWS forecast discussion. Is this the earliest rumbling of the Monsoon?

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 19 2011 3:17 pm
by azbackpackr
Lots of clouds in far northern Arizona today around Marble Canyon. Big puffy ones.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 19 2011 5:39 pm
by Jim
There's another late season low moving north of us. They're from that, along with the wind.

Tucson is poised to be in the top 5 years for the longest stretches of rain free days.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/twc/climate/wxs ... ne2011.php

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 6:56 am
by azbackpackr
32 degrees in Flag this morning, and my roommate has turned off the pilot light to the furnace. I'm sitting under a blanket, wearing a fleece jacket and a beanie on my head. I could turn the pilot light back on but I'm heading for Eagar pretty soon anyway.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 9:31 am
by Jim
Yup, looks like the low was 30 last night. June 20, and we're still having freezing temperatures and the growing season is therefore still yet to begin. Can't say we were doing super well with our lows moderating, as a week ago it was 32. I hate to say it, but moderated lows seems like one of the positives of monsoon season up here, besides nearly half our annual rain. Once the moisture moves in, lows moderate and we stop having frosts and freezes. In fact, usually we stay in the 50s for the low, or maybe high 40s later in the summer. I don't believe I have ever seen a low in the 60s here. It's all due to the altitude, and it's funny because just 1500 feet lower it can be a lot warmer at night.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 11:13 am
by chumley
Jim_H wrote:Tucson is poised to be in the top 5 years for the longest stretches of rain free days.
Jim, did you see this nice presentation from NWS Tucson? http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/images/twc/Arti ... layer.html

While not conclusive evidence, it also shows that those years with the longest stretches of no rain also ended up with wetter-than-normal monsoons.

Another interesting tidbit is the possibility that the extensive snowpack across the west is reflecting the sun's energy and preventing some of the heat required get the monsoon going.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 11:53 am
by Jim
I watched that presentation. I liked how it isn't just a meteorologist making the presentation, but an "officer". :sl:

BTW, did you notice the parallel between 2011 and 2002, and the fires?

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 12:48 pm
by azbackpackr
My roommate is out of town. I re-lit the pilot light and heated the house. Then turned it off again. What a relief! Now, at midday, it's hot outside...

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 1:07 pm
by Jim
73 is hot? Oh, and 30 looks to be the low in town. 30.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobe ... FLG&num=72

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 1:46 pm
by tibber
chumley wrote:
Jim_H wrote:Another interesting tidbit is the possibility that the extensive snowpack across the west is reflecting the sun's energy and preventing some of the heat required get the monsoon going.
I know that western snow pack is playing havoc with hiking plans in the Sierras and for me, Glacier National Park. We crossed nearly 20 last year on the Highline Trail but I fear from what I've read, we'll be crossing more and much deeper.

According to the GNP press release:
Due to the lingering snowpack, the Two Medicine and Cutbank Campgrounds will delay opening until at least the following week. Horse trips in the Lake McDonald and Many Glacier valley are delayed until trail and lake conditions allow these activities. Many of the park's trails and backcountry campgrounds may be under snow later than normal. Snow hazards may linger through July or into August. The placement of some backcountry suspension bridges have been delayed due to high water The folks who get the Going to the Sun Road open said "Crews are encountering the largest snowpack this late in the season and in their experience."

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 20 2011 1:53 pm
by azbackpackr
Jim_H wrote:73 is hot? Oh, and 30 looks to be the low in town.
Well, it seemed pretty hot on Fat Man's during late morning, and hot when I drove to Bookman's just now. Not hot hot, or Phoenix hot, just hot.

Funny too, because when I hiked the River Trail at Lee's Ferry two days ago it was about 103 degrees, and it felt great. I think I must have a faulty thermostat.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 25 2011 8:58 pm
by Jim
While hiking FR 231 out by East Pocket, I got to thinking that with today's ferocious winds, it wasn't quite feeling like lake June. I couldn't really hear much besides wind most of the time I was out. I almost forgot we are 6 days away from July. I realized, that if the monsoon doesn't start in the next week or so, it won't be early. It could still be normal or late, though. I looked at this graphic, and am left wondering if these will be some high-base dry storms, or early monsoon storms affecting the eastern part of the state.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i00.gif

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 25 2011 9:28 pm
by chumley
Forecast discussion seems to indicate high-based dry storms. And only 10-20% chance, followed by drying. Looks like we will be going into July dry.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 25 2011 9:37 pm
by Jim
I'm hoping for some lightning starts in the Mogollon Mountains in the Gila. That area could use a fire, below 9,000'.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 26 2011 9:46 pm
by Nighthiker
While cycling near Sun Lakes this morning heard the cicada's singing, usually means the monsoon should arrive soon. Hope the cicada's are right.

Re: Monsoon chatter

Posted: Jun 26 2011 11:09 pm
by Jim
Barely heard any up here. We had a few start, but the wind picked up again. They might be there, but I can't or haven't been able to hear them over the 40+ mph gusts. I recall them on Monday the 20th. It's been windy since.