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Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 24 2008 12:45 pm
by kgmolson
Planning on heading out there this weekend (Sunday) what would be the best time to start in order to finish before the storms hit?

I usually average around 2.5 mph.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 24 2008 2:26 pm
by chumley
Unfortunately, the answer to that is highly variable. My experience is that on days where storms develop, (because it doesn't storm everyday), the earliest you see something is around 10. By noon, there's usually storms popping up all along the higher elevations of the Rim and Whites.

Of course, that depends strongly on the current monsoon pattern. Today I didn't see storms on radar around Flag until about 12:30, and they're still firing now (2:30). It's been a slightly "low-grade" monsoon flow this week however, and I believe that there's the possibility for much more moisture this weekend due to the remnants of Hurricane Dolly.

The hurricane moisture also throws off the weather forecast models because the computers just don't have enough historical data to figure out how its going to affect the weather, so a weekend like this can be very unpredictable weatherwise.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 24 2008 2:30 pm
by chumley
Another indicator to keep an eye out for is the night before ... and early morning. If storms on the previous day result in a cloudy overnight and early morning, it will typically buy you a couple of hours before storms fire, because the morning clouds prevent the sun from heating the ground as quickly, which is a major factor in developing thunderstorms.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 24 2008 3:29 pm
by Davis2001r6
I would just start at 6 or 7 am. If you coming up from Phoenix and not camping in Flag the night before the elevation will affect you more. You probably won't average 2.5mph roundtrip either.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 24 2008 5:10 pm
by kgmolson
perfect, thanks guys. i was planning on starting between 6 and 7

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 24 2008 7:00 pm
by wrangler0
When we did last sunday we started at 7:30 and where don by 1 one. It started pouring rain right as we got to the end of snowbowl road so my guess is people up on the mountain would be drenched.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 27 2008 10:16 am
by Davis2001r6
So how did it go for you?

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 27 2008 5:28 pm
by Sun_Ray
"and I believe that there's the possibility for much more moisture this weekend due to the remnants of Hurricane Dolly." I camped on the Rim Friday night and the storm that came through late in the afternoon had the old timers in the area saying it was the heaviest they have every seen. We had about 10 minutes of hail, non stop thunder and heavy rain for about 1.5 hours.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 29 2008 5:11 pm
by Davis2001r6
I guess no one does triplogs anymore.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Jul 30 2008 2:22 pm
by kgmolson
didnt make it up there. I got suckered into helping a buddy move and that went well into the night.

I plan on making it up this weekend. Hopefully on Sunday.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Aug 05 2008 3:06 pm
by kgmolson
Made it out there on Sunday... what a great day! made it up in 3:10 and down in 2:30. all in all great hike that kicked my butt. Had some light rain on top and sunshine on the way down.

Going out again on Sunday to try to get it in under 5.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Aug 05 2008 4:36 pm
by Davis2001r6
Cool, glad you made it up there. If you can camp in Flag the night before that will help a bit. I haven't beat 3 hours on the accent if I've came up from Phoenix. Only place I've made up time was running down.

Re: Humphreys question

Posted: Aug 06 2008 7:36 pm
by kgmolson
That is kind of what i figured. I was thinking i could possibly trim about 10 to 15 off my time up and save about a half hour on the way down by running and not falling.