In a week, nice chunks of the Mogollon Rim and southeast valley have moved completely out of drought status!

The early results on Thursday and Friday had me thinking this might be an over-hyped dud. It has turned a bit more impressive. My backyard is up over 2.4" so far, and some of the totals in the high country are impressive looking.

@Nighthiker
A whole rafter last weekend, but none yesterday!

@garyc57 I was in the area yesterday. There will be no issues for them crossing anything up there (I was looking for running water and disappointed in how little was found). Plenty of puddles, mud, and little washes, but nothing that will prevent passage. On top of that, these kinds of events in th...

@RedRoxx44 One of the major models is calling for insane rainfall amounts in the 5-10 inch range for the southeast quadrant of the state, based primarily on the moisture from the tropical system that is following behind Priscilla and should hit late in the weekend or early next week. Seems tough to...

Tropical moisture is looking to combine with a couple of other atmospheric features to bring some potential moistitude later this week and into next week. The models are all over the place but at this point it looks like we might at least see a cloud.

The Maricopa County Flood Control District monitors rainfall at 369 locations across the county. By averaging the results of all those gauges, we get a more detailed picture of rainfall across the valley versus just the official gauge at Sky Harbor airport. Here's a handful of images that illustrate...

RedRoxx44 wrote:the beautiful Sierra Ancha

Tonto NF has been doing their best to make sure it's not beautiful anymore by letting it burn. Maybe that's part of the plan.

@azbackpackr I wouldn't rely on social media posts for such things. The city is hosting a press conference at 4pm that will address the situation and next steps, including how people can assist.
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The deluge in the valley pushed the seasonal "monsoon" totals to mostly at or just above normal. Notable deficits remain around Tucson, the White Mountains, Kaibab Plateau, and the reservation lands. The Yuma area looks great in the percentage column because 300% of next to nothing is does...

@Sun_Ray A common misconception with airtags is that they "broadcast" a GPS signal of their location. In fact, all it does is connect to any nearby iphone via bluetooth and that phone provides the location to you (it doesn't matter who owns the phone it connects to, it all happens behind ...

Sky Harbor just reported .76" of rainfall in 11 minutes.

Destructive tornadoes and death aside, this is starting to look like one of the most pleasant weather days the valley has seen in months!

@RedRoxx44
Yeah the Pinals got hit hard last week and Pinal Creek flashed so the ground in that area is probably still pretty saturated. I see it flashed again tonight in the 3000cfs range.

Grand Canyon National Park Announces Partial Reopening of North Rim on Oct. 1 Following Dragon Bravo Fire https://www.nps.gov/grca/learn/news/north-rim-partial-reopening-oct-2025.htm Road access to Cape Royal and Point Imperial will reopen as well as Fire Point and Swamp Point (the latter two will ...

The monsoon might not be a thing anymore, but these autumn-ish cutoff lows pumping in moisture off the socal coast are nice to see, and I'm here for them. It'll be interesting to see how things pan out over the next 3-4 days but the entire SE quadrant of the state looks primed to get an inch of rain...

The hike from Aspen Corner down to the AZT is well-traveled and generally considered easy. However, I wouldn't recommend this as a spot to camp. As you suspect, this area will be overrun with leaf-peeping tourists. Weekdays, weekends, and all daylight hours. Note that you are not permitted to camp o...

Recent news reports of two hunters that had gone missing in southern Colorado having been found deceased days later have been circulating for more than a week with no explanation as to the cause of their death. Only today was it revealed by the coroner that the pair were killed by lightning while sh...

Some nice rain totals in isolated spots across the state. The Pinals and central Mazzies got hammered. Pinal Creek flashed to 1500cfs. Out west some of the desert ranges saw their annual averages happen in a day. The north valley took a quality ride on the Mario Kart. LosDosSnorkel?

Mario had a name for about 12 minutes ("Still counts!" - Andy Samberg ) but somehow its remnant moistitude might grace the skies over our fine state in the next few days. Overall forecast totals appear to be unimpressive, but a local storm or two could have an impact. I've yet to see repor...