https://tucson.com/news/local/environment/article_22d4fc8c-2ec3-43ec-b6f4-1ba9a01814e4.html No working sources from the Feds, yet. Powell elevation is currently at 3526'. Powell elevation to be propped up above 3500' using up to 1-million-acre feet from Flaming Gorge to keep Glen Canyon Dam turbines...

@Grimey Use the emoji and people will be able to tell if you are making a joke. Your post just looked like the typical whining that permeates the forum, these days. You know, like the next post under mine. Also, the "----------------------" is to indicate that only the top part of my post...

@Grimey I believe the SW regional office is currently in Albuquerque, so Phoenix really isn't too different. It is closer to the Tonto, which actually has very few trees to zero over much of it's area unless you count cactus as a tree, and the Prescott, Coconino, and Coronado NFs, at least. Apache ...

https://www.usbr.gov/uc/water/crsp/stud ... ations.pdf
Update to the graphs for Powell and Mead. 3490 looks to be met at Powell in last 1/4 of the year, maybe by early August.

It is Spring today! Also, it looks like it started a few weeks back in the San Juans.

A local (AZ) meteorologists was saying that the ridge of high pressure is more like what you would see in June than March. The pressure itself, he meant. No moisture to work with, but that type of intense pressure is typically what brings in monsoonal flow. If this sort of high intensity continues i...

https://www.usbr.gov/newsroom/news-release/5282
Update to winter snowpack calls for a most probable inflow to Powell leading to a lake level below 3490' by end of year.

hikeaz wrote: ↑Mar 12 2026 5:01 pm @azbackpackr
and not a moment too soon.....

Why? All I see are two native animals enjoying the great outdoors. One just happens to be slightly anthropomorphized and has a large grin, for some reason. Surely, nothing untoward happening there. Is there a sudden outbreak of bear hatred?

Screenshot 2026-03-12 at 08-59-20 24-Month Study Inflow Scenarios January 2026 - PowellElevations.pdf.png https://www.usbr.gov/uc/water/crsp/studies/images/PowellElevations.pdf Screenshot 2026-03-12 at 09-03-11 NWCC iMap.png Upper CO basin appears to be tracking just below the Most Probable Inflow ...

@DixieFlyer Interesting that all but 2 of those are in the last 12 years, and all of them are since 1980. How much of that is the result of urban heat island affects vs warming in the low desert? Is there a decrease in freeze or near freeze events, and what percentage of the warming trend is relate...

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Video posted yesterday going over the EIS and Operational Guidelines after this year. Doesn't really start until 3:30 in.

https://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/ftpref/support/states/CO/products/#state=co&element=wteq Screenshot 2026-02-19 at 12-12-57 Colorado Snow Survey Products.png Substantial improvement in snowpack in the Colorado River Upper Basin region. However, that is the state wide graph and many basins like the ...

Too bad complaining about having to read doesn't make it snow. Arizona would be under 30 to 40 feet of it.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i12.gif Screenshot 2026-02-10 at 10-02-40 p168i12.gif (GIF Image 800 × 561 pixels).png At least through the 17th, models don't show much precipitation for Arizona, and more importantly not much for the upper Colorado River. Per https://lakepowell.water-data.com/...

Screenshot 2026-02-04 at 08-21-58 NWS Phoenix.png I can not speak to 1986 or 2003. I remember 2018 in Phoenix wasn't particularly bad. No idea about monsoonal flow that summer, but there was a tropical system to affect the valley in early October. I remember this vividly, as my new house's dirt yar...

In case anyone is interested.

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At 33:48 it talks about the aspen (and oak) regeneration in the Wallow Fire.

Fencing can be used to limit herbivory in mechanically treated areas, but that isn't practical on the landscape.

Interestingly, NEPA, or the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969, and the EIS, or Environmental Impact Statement required under that act, was in response to public concerns over various environmental issues during the 1960s, and I'm sure before then in the 50s and maybe 40s. https://en.wikipedi...

@RedRoxx44
Is that going to be your official comment to Reclamation, then? That the Environmental Impact Statement is, "super important for the science types but not for me."?

Actually, water levels today at Glen Canyon are at 3536.2
https://lakepowell.water-data.com/

People talking about hydrology and the lack of winter snow over critical watershed areas?

Oh, no. No, it's just the usual complaining about something stupid and totally unrelated to the subject itself.

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